Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.194420 3.550303 3.935753 4.385264 4.896357 5.460857 6.133543
2025-04-13 2.540642 2.987970 3.505828 4.153211 4.945786 5.890797 7.112240
2025-04-20 2.230644 2.736077 3.351190 4.162118 5.213802 6.546372 8.386306
2025-04-27 2.040573 2.590064 3.286754 4.246728 5.553770 7.298599 9.850899
2025-05-04 1.892846 2.473309 3.235449 4.326486 5.876596 8.043992 11.383910
2025-05-11 1.761748 2.360645 3.171308 4.371504 6.142625 8.724676 12.897872
2025-05-18 1.647965 2.258179 3.106970 4.402368 6.381283 9.379623 14.446646
2025-05-25 1.505315 2.101345 2.949419 4.277144 6.365761 9.636384 15.381190
2025-06-01 1.402438 1.992618 2.850759 4.227615 6.455986 10.059936 16.637042
2025-06-08 1.317495 1.903140 2.772197 4.199323 6.572541 10.531840 18.031394
2025-06-15 1.283776 1.887521 2.803225 4.345181 6.986251 11.545513 20.546485
2025-06-22 1.215764 1.813789 2.737369 4.325465 7.113894 12.068848 22.204121
2025-06-29 1.147002 1.735816 2.661468 4.286374 7.210748 12.560302 23.903201
2025-07-06 1.047722 1.603023 2.487987 4.066488 6.962400 12.381667 24.203558
2025-07-13 1.001946 1.553877 2.448487 4.076292 7.135414 13.026825 26.352811
2025-07-20 0.973329 1.530817 2.450473 4.159060 7.452408 13.991143 29.367640
2025-07-27 0.945891 1.507719 2.450283 4.236923 7.766440 14.986127 32.629694
2025-08-03 0.914787 1.476270 2.433061 4.280853 8.016239 15.875219 35.799524
2025-08-10 0.883729 1.442894 2.409912 4.310967 8.239799 16.733592 39.052950
2025-08-17 0.832167 1.370676 2.312392 4.188787 8.132325 16.837276 40.353876
2025-08-24 0.795033 1.321986 2.254666 4.140457 8.177155 17.294096 42.691835
2025-08-31 0.763299 1.281256 2.209105 4.112849 8.264014 17.859599 45.443721
2025-09-07 0.756064 1.284450 2.245619 4.255172 8.742797 19.433678 51.460406